The college job market offers a warning sign to the US labor market | CNN Business (2024)

The college job market offers a warning sign to the US labor market | CNN Business (1)

The unemployment rate for recent US college grads has jumped over the past year, while the nation's overall unemployment rate has remained flat, under 4%.

New York CNN

It’s almost laughable at this point when Bryn Savidge gets a job rejection email.

“It’s like they’re all using the same AI algorithm to say, ‘Write this person a rejection letter,’” said Savidge, who graduated from Kenyon College, a small liberal arts college 50 miles from Columbus, Ohio, with a major in environmental science. A classic refrain is “We can tell you really want to change the world, but we’ve gone for more qualified candidates,” she said. “They always add an environmental quip.”

After applying to over 100 jobs at environmental consulting firms, law firms, nonprofit organizations and think tanks since last fall, Savidge hasn’t received a single full-time offer. But she is relieved to have at least secured a summer internship at an environmental science publication.

The college job market offers a warning sign to the US labor market | CNN Business (2)

Bryn Savidge thought the economy was doing pretty well. But after applying to more than 100 jobs since fall, the Kenyon College grad is having second thoughts.

On paper, the job market looks like it’s hardly ever been better. The unemployment rate has stayed under 4% for more than two years, the longest stretch of time since the early 1960s. And there are more than 8 million jobs, which exceeds the number of openings before the pandemic.

Jobseekers and representatives at a job fair at Brunswick Community College in Bolivia, North Carolina, US, on Thursday, April 11, 2024. Allison Joyce/Bloomberg/Getty Images Related article The US economy added just 175,000 jobs last month and unemployment rose to 3.9%

But zooming in on the job market for recent college graduates paints the economy in a much less rosy light. The unemployment rate for bachelor’s degree recipients aged 20 to 29 is above 12%, an almost four percentage point increase from a year ago, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data.

That essentially means applicants like Savidge are competing with more people for the same position compared to a year, said Kory Kantenga, LinkedIn’s head of economics for the Americas. “While securing that first job tends to be challenging, it is especially hard now given the slowdown in the labor market over the last two years,” he said.

Kantenga sees the job market for college grads as “an acute barometer for the temperature of the overall market for workers with college degrees.” When college grads are having more difficulty getting jobs compared to prior years, that could signal there’s a greater slowdown happening in the economy. Since employers tend to value workers with more experience, college grads could be getting passed over by people who were laid off from prior jobs, he said.

‘What are you going to do for your job search today?’

Angela Mangione said she receives a text almost every day from her father saying something like, “Good morning! What are you gonna do for your job search today?” Mangione, who graduated from Colgate University with a major in international relations, said many of her classmates have already signed leases for new places for jobs they’re about to start.

But she’s living back home in Buffalo, New York, doing just about everything she can to get a job.

The college job market offers a warning sign to the US labor market | CNN Business (4)

Angela Mangione graduated from Colgate University with a major in international relations and a minor in economics. She's living with her parents in Buffalo, New York, while she continues to apply for jobs.

“I just don’t hear back [from jobs] until months later when I’ve basically forgotten about it telling me I was rejected,” she told CNN. Initially, she applied for jobs in management consulting but said a lot of positions have been frozen amid an industry-wide hiring slowdown.

She’s now focusing her efforts on campaign jobs, particularly on the Biden campaign, and having more conversations with alumni to continue to build her network.

A bit of luck goes a long way

Although Moises Brito had a high GPA and led Chapman University’s Accounting Society chapter, among other extracurricular activities, he’s not discounting the role luck played in his career.

The internship he got with Deloitte two summers ago came through a cold apply. Not long after he applied, a Deloitte recruiter happened to show up at an Accounting Society networking event.

“I assume that he really enjoyed talking to me because I got an interview shortly after,” said Brito, who double majored in business administration and accounting.

Originally he was offered the internship for the summer of 2023. But because of a change of plans, a recruiter offered him the position a year earlier, going into his junior year.

The college job market offers a warning sign to the US labor market | CNN Business (5)

Moises Brito graduated from Chapman University in Orange, California, with a double major in accounting and business administration. In September, he'll be working in the audit and assurance department at Deloitte.

The next summer he returned to Deloitte for another internship, and at the end was offered a full-time position in the audit department.

That position, however, doesn’t start until September. To cover his expenses until then, he applied for summer internships at other accounting firms in Orange County, California, where he is based. But he encountered what Savidge andMangione have been experiencing: lots and lots of ghosting.

In the end, luck struck again and he managed to secure a six-week internship at a local firm.

The college job market offers a warning sign to the US labor market | CNN Business (2024)

FAQs

The college job market offers a warning sign to the US labor market | CNN Business? ›

Kantenga sees the job market for college grads as “an acute barometer for the temperature of the overall market for workers with college degrees.” When college grads are having more difficulty getting jobs compared to prior years, that could signal there's a greater slowdown happening in the economy.

How is the current US labor market? ›

There continues to be an unusual imbalance between the number of job openings and the availability of individuals seeking employment. At the end of April 2024, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, there were 8.1 million job openings in the U.S., compared to 6.6 million unemployed persons.

What does the job market refer to? ›

The labor market, also known as the job market, refers to the supply of and demand for labor, for which employees provide the supply and employers provide the demand.

Who is responsible for measuring the labor market situation in the US? ›

Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)

The Bureau of Labor Statistics is the principal federal agency responsible for measuring labor market activity, working conditions, and price changes in the economy.

Why is the US labor market so tight? ›

The bottom line is that even taking into account that about 1 million died from Covid, there are still around 5 million native-born workers missing. These 5 million missing workers are the reason why the labor market is tight and why wage inflation is likely to remain elevated.

How is the US IT job market now? ›

The IT Job market grew by 10,300 positions over the past three months and by 25,700 in the last 12 months, according to IT consultancy Janco Associates. That compares to 2023, when the IT job market shrank by over 48,600 jobs, according to Janco. (It now estimates there are 119,000 unemployed IT professionals.)

Why is it so hard to get a job now? ›

A trio of factors: Layoff spillover, AI and market re-correction. Some experts say that companies and workers are having a hard time meeting each others' needs right now. But Goldstein pinpoints three specific factors fueling the job search drag.

Is the job market bad right now in 2024? ›

Are People Getting Hired in 2024? The simple answer is, yes. However, hiring is focused on several key industries where the demand remains high for qualified professionals. Job seekers experienced in the fields of technology, healthcare and green solutions are seeing most job opportunities.

Is the job market getting better? ›

The labor market surged after the economy reopened from the pandemic, peaking in March 2022 when there were more than 12 million job openings, two for every unemployed worker. Job openings have been on a downward trend since then, though employers have continued adding jobs steadily and have avoided mass layoffs.

What is a job market and what does it tell us about? ›

What Is the Job Market? The job market is the market in which employers search for employees and employees search for jobs. The job market is not a physical place as much as a concept demonstrating the competition and interplay between different labor forces. It is also known as the labor market.

Who does not count in the labor market? ›

Persons who are neither employed nor unemployed are not in the labor force. This category includes retired persons, students, those taking care of children or other family members, and others who are neither working nor seeking work.

How do you determine labor market? ›

Employers can refer to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) to stay up to date on unemployment rates, labor turnover, job openings, salary data, workplace conditions, and more to assess the health of their relevant labor market.

Who is the seller in the labor market? ›

Houses and businesses interact in two economies: the products and services sector and the industrial factors sector. Companies are suppliers, and households are consumers on the goods and services market. Companies are consumers, and households are vendors in the labor sector.

How is the US labor market now? ›

The labor market is roughly back to its pre-pandemic state, but business optimism hit an 11-year low and labor shortages and inflation continue to plague employers. The U.S. economy faces significant headwinds from inflation, unsustainable federal spending, and recent Biden Administration labor regulations.

What is causing the labor shortage in the United States? ›

The COVID-19 pandemic caused a major disruption in America's labor force—something many have referred to as "The Great Resignation." In 2022, more than 50 million workers quit their jobs, following the 47.8 million who did so in 2021.

What is the current labor shortage in the US? ›

US Labor Shortage Stats

The US has lost as many as 1.4 million workers from the labor force since February 2020. As of April 2024, the US has a labor force participation of 62.7%.

What is the current status of the US labor force participation rate? ›

US Labor Force Participation Rate is at 62.50%, compared to 62.70% last month and 62.60% last year. This is lower than the long term average of 62.84%.

What is the current US workforce trend? ›

The total number of working Americans has surpassed pre-pandemic levels, albeit at a slower growth rate than much of recent history. Specifically, there are 167.8 million people in the labor force today. That number is expected to grow to 169.6 million over the next 7 years.

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